Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029776 0.032083 0.034496 0.037211 0.040186 0.043349 0.046973
2025-02-16 0.025908 0.029165 0.032755 0.037018 0.041960 0.047530 0.054313
2025-02-23 0.023229 0.027013 0.031347 0.036709 0.043204 0.050864 0.060656
2025-03-02 0.021379 0.025520 0.030415 0.036677 0.044542 0.054180 0.067023
2025-03-09 0.019678 0.024001 0.029247 0.036150 0.045090 0.056410 0.072045
2025-03-16 0.018184 0.022593 0.028066 0.035444 0.045259 0.058053 0.076301
2025-03-23 0.017063 0.021558 0.027253 0.035103 0.045810 0.060148 0.081227
2025-03-30 0.016090 0.020639 0.026511 0.034772 0.046299 0.062126 0.086063
2025-04-06 0.015099 0.019629 0.025574 0.034090 0.046220 0.063256 0.089697
2025-04-13 0.014589 0.019227 0.025418 0.034455 0.047604 0.066516 0.096679
2025-04-20 0.013998 0.018677 0.025019 0.034436 0.048409 0.068947 0.102546
2025-04-27 0.013600 0.018370 0.024932 0.034845 0.049844 0.072383 0.110222
2025-05-04 0.012984 0.017731 0.024349 0.034501 0.050136 0.074107 0.115313
2025-05-11 0.012471 0.017212 0.023911 0.034343 0.050693 0.076266 0.121283
2025-05-18 0.011963 0.016675 0.023417 0.034065 0.051033 0.078080 0.126784
2025-05-25 0.011561 0.016274 0.023101 0.034037 0.051754 0.080540 0.133589
2025-06-01 0.011067 0.015714 0.022518 0.033555 0.051701 0.081692 0.138119
2025-06-08 0.010564 0.015119 0.021856 0.032909 0.051331 0.082268 0.141617
2025-06-15 0.010177 0.014683 0.021417 0.032597 0.051496 0.083760 0.146929
2025-06-22 0.009816 0.014273 0.020999 0.032294 0.051650 0.085231 0.152301
2025-06-29 0.009401 0.013764 0.020404 0.031669 0.051209 0.085598 0.155519
2025-07-06 0.009228 0.013624 0.020387 0.032003 0.052457 0.089101 0.165292
2025-07-13 0.008987 0.013367 0.020170 0.031986 0.053074 0.091469 0.172938